文明规律与中国崛起原因何在?《忽然》结语8.1
杨浪序 她把史学理论的水“搅浑”了
《忽然》为苏粉必读项目
结语:文明发展规律与中国崛起的原因
Conclusion: Rise of China and the Law of Civilization
千万年来人类的演化与文明的发展,恒定地受到这两只大手的背后操纵:气候与地理地缘。另外,传播、积累和群聚效应、加速度等也发挥着重要作用。这几个要素交替作用,塑造了今天的全球人类社会。
For hundreds of thousands of years, human evolution and
development of civilization have been determined constantly by the two
big hands behind: climate and geography. In addition, accumulation
effect and clustering effect also played important roles in history. These
elements combined to bring into being the global human society today.
耶利的故乡新几内亚之所以一直落后,主要就是受到以上这些因素的制约,那里一直明显属于地缘与积聚效应的劣势地区(地缘好过美洲,但积聚效应比美洲差)。
New Guinea, Yali’s hometown, has been lagging behind largely because of these factors. The place far away from the center of the world civilization has long been disadvantageous in terms of geography and accumulation effect.
(巴布亚 新几内亚在世界上的位置 / Location of New Guinea )
东亚是如何长期落后并如何在今天崛起的,也符合以上的规律。与西方相比,中国早期在地缘传播、积累方面有亏,但后期积聚效应强烈,因为它是东亚大陆板块的中心。今天,则数个效应全部扭转到位,再加上加速度效应,发展飞速。
The fact that East Asia was lagging behind for long and it has been on the rise is can be well explained these laws and rules. Compared with the west, China was in the disadvantageous in terms of geographical spread and
accumulation of deficit. As time went by, accumulation effects became
increasingly powerful because it is the center of the East Asian continent
with a vast territory. Today, all these effects are reversed and no one can
compete with it.
弹指一挥间,千万年人类发展史俱往矣,明天的文明高地又在哪里?中国能保持多长时间的崛起? 明天的全球文明又会如何发展? 旧规律还会继续发挥作用吗?
Time is flying and all has been past and gone. But where will the height of civilization be tomorrow? And how long will China keep rising and how will tomorrow's global civilization develop?
未完待续
《忽然》连载 是原定的小纪录片脚本,但现在准备对该脚本进行较大修改,可能最终以 《人类文明是如何发展的?》为主要脉络,以《忽然》的知识体系为背景,来重新阐述我的“文明学”框架。欢迎大家就各个方面提出宝贵意见与支持,包括对剧本提意见、给片子取名到拍摄技术和赞助。拍摄地点在北京与上海两地完成,顺利的话预计半年内完成。感谢朋友们一直以来的鼓励支持!